Grandjean, T.J., Miliou, A. A Mediterranean Sea vulnerability model following the Representative Concentration Pathways for the Posidonia oceanica distribution in 2050. Mediterranean Symposia on Marine Key Habitats and Non-Indigenous Species 2019.

Abstract:

The seagrass meadows of the Mediterranean endemic Posidonia oceanica support numerous critical ecosystem services for humans. Although in the last 50 years an alarming decline rate of 34% has been determined due to climate change. Essential spatial data of P. oceanica distribution can be processed with species distribution models (SDMs) in coastal ecosystems, for present as well future forecasts under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). The aim of the present study was to predict the change in habitat suitability for P. oceanica under the RCPs for 2050.